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5

Portfolio Strategies

€1M

Each Portfolio

50,000

Monte Carlo Scenarios

Portfolio Risk Reports

Free quarterly risk analysis challenging conventional portfolio wisdom

Q1 2026 Quarterly Report

We analyzed five distinct portfolio strategies—each with €1,000,000—using Monte Carlo simulation, stress testing, and risk decomposition based on year-end 2025 market data. The results challenges conventional portfolio construction wisdom.

What we discovered: Portfolios with half the equity allocation can achieve lower risk through proper diversification. The secret? Combining truly uncorrelated assets like gold, REITs, and alternatives—not just adding more bonds.

📊 Comparative Analysis Report

Octarisk Q1 2026 Portfolio Risk Report

Comprehensive analysis comparing all five portfolios. Includes risk decomposition, diversification benefits, stress test results across four scenarios (Crisis, COVID-19, Stagflation, AI Bubble), and actionable recommendations for investors.

Key Topics:

  • The Myth of traditional 60/40 Balance (risk contribution analysis)
  • Why ALLSEASONS achieves 72% better diversification than TRADITIONAL Balanced
  • Stagflation scenario: 38% performance advantage with proper inflation hedges
  • Which portfolio matches your risk tolerance and goals

Download Full Report (PDF)

Individual Portfolio Reports

Each portfolio represents a different investor archetype and strategic approach. Detailed reports include complete position listings, risk metrics, stress test results, and suitability assessments. Dashboard one-pagers provide quick summaries.

Portfolio Description Risk Profile Downloads
SAFEHARBOR
Conservative Retiree
Low-risk portfolio prioritizing capital preservation. 70% bond ladder across multiple maturities, 20% equities, with small gold and REIT allocations for diversification.
Best for: Retirees, risk-averse investors
VaR: 4.6%
SRRI: 4
Highest diversification benefit: 13.3%
Full Report
Dashboard
TRADITIONAL
Traditional 60/40
Standard diversified allocation: 50% global equities, 40% bonds, 10% REITs. Critical issue: Despite "balanced" label, equities drive 85% of risk.
⚠️ Not recommended: Consider ALLSEASONS instead
VaR: 9.9%
SRRI: 6
Poor diversification: only 6.5%
Full Report
Dashboard
ALLSEASONS
Risk Parity Inspired
True all-weather diversification: 30% equities, 40% bonds, 15% gold, 10% REITs, 5% Bitcoin. Risk contributions balanced across asset classes (52%/16%/16%/15%).
✓ Recommended for genuine diversification
VaR: 9.3%
SRRI: 6
Strong diversification: 11.2%
Full Report
Dashboard
GROWTH
Aggressive Accumulator
Maximum equity exposure for long-term growth: 70% global equities (heavy EM weighting), 10% corporate bonds, small Bitcoin position as tech bet.
Best for: 30+ year horizon, high risk tolerance
VaR: 15.0%
SRRI: 6-7
Low diversification: 5.2%
Full Report
Dashboard
HARDASSETS
Inflation Hedge
Overweight tangible assets for inflation protection: 30% gold, 25% REITs, 35% equities, 10% Bitcoin. Zero bonds by design. Excels in stagflation scenarios.
Best for: Inflation concerns, high volatility tolerance
VaR: 15.3%
SRRI: 6-7
Moderate diversification: 6.2%
Full Report
Dashboard

About These Reports

All analysis performed using Octarisk, an open-source portfolio risk measurement framework built on GNU Octave. Methodology includes Monte Carlo simulation (50,000 scenarios), parametric stress testing, VaR decomposition, and utility-based risk assessment.

Next Report: Q2 2026 (April 2026)
Valuation Date: December 31, 2025
Report Generated: January 20, 2026

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